V.League 1 · Regular Season - 3
Hai PhongvsThanh Hóa
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- V.League 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa: match review and analysis
Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa in V.League 1 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hai Phong recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Thanh Hóa recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hai Phong | Thanh Hóa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hai Phong: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Thanh Hóa: (0.75 weighted goals scored + 1.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hai Phong recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Than Quang NinhCup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hoang Anh Gia LaiV.League 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Phu DongV.League 1 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Nam DinhV.League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Pho HienV.League 1 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Da NangV.League 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Binh DuongV.League 1 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Phu DongV.League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Công An Nhân DânV.League 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hoang Anh Gia LaiV.League 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hai Phong’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Thanh Hóa recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binh DuongCup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Phu DongV.League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Da NangV.League 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Da NangV.League 1 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Phu DongV.League 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hoang Anh Gia LaiV.League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Công An Nhân DânV.League 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ha NoiV.League 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Binh DuongV.League 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Pho HienV.League 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Thanh Hóa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
V.League 1 — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Thanh Hóa are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 2 games.
Hai Phong are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Công An Nhân Dân | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Phu Dong | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Song Lam Nghe An | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Da Nang | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nam Dinh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Ho Chi Minh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Thanh Hóa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Bắc Ninh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Hai Phong | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Viettel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Ha Noi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 13 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
| 14 | Bình Phước | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.