Championship · Regular Season - 9
CharltonvsBristol City
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- The Valley
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Charlton vs Bristol City: match review and analysis
Charlton vs Bristol City in Championship on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Charlton recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Bristol City recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Charlton | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Charlton: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bristol City: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Charlton recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CardiffChampionship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PortsmouthChampionship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| QPRChampionship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Stoke CityChampionship | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| West BromChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PrestonChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TottenhamLeague Cup | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| West HamChampionship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| DerbyChampionship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CheltenhamLeague Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Charlton’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bristol City recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| WatfordChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| LincolnChampionship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SouthamptonChampionship | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| BurnleyChampionship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PrestonChampionship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PortsmouthChampionship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BirminghamChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MillwallChampionship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| WalsallLeague Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bristol City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bristol City are ranked 8 in Championship, with 13 points from 8 games.
Charlton are ranked 9 in Championship, with 12 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.