National League · Regular Season - 13
AltrinchamvsAldershot Town
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- Moss Lane
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Altrincham vs Aldershot Town: match review and analysis
Altrincham vs Aldershot Town in National League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Altrincham recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Aldershot Town recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Altrincham | Aldershot Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Altrincham: (1.73 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Aldershot Town: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Altrincham recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boreham WoodNational League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| GatesheadNational League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| AFC FyldeNational League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| HartlepoolNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| WokingNational League | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| EastleighNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Forest GreenNational League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Boston UnitedNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Altrincham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Aldershot Town recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CarlisleNational League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TamworthNational League | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| BarrowNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yeovil TownNational League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Solihull MoorsNational League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| West Ham United U21National League Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| EastleighNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Harrogate TownNational League | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Aldershot Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Altrincham are ranked 6 in Conference, with 21 points from 12 games.
Aldershot Town are ranked 10 in Conference, with 18 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster Harriers | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.