Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 4
Buriram UnitedvsRayong FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Thai League 1
- Venue
- Chang Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Buriram United vs Rayong FC: match review and analysis
Buriram United vs Rayong FC in Thai League 1 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Buriram United recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 4. Rayong FC recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Buriram United | Rayong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Buriram United: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 2.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rayong FC: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 0.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Buriram United recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pusamania BorneoASEAN Club Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chonburi FCThai League 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Johor Darul Takzim FCAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chiangrai UnitedThai League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sukhothai FCThai League 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| BG Pathum UnitedFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| PrachuapFA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SelangorASEAN Club Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SelangorASEAN Club Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ayutthaya FCFA Cup | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Buriram United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rayong FC recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RatchaburiThai League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chonburi FCThai League 1 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| PrachuapThai League 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bangkok UnitedThai League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RatchaburiThai League 1 | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Buriram UnitedThai League 1 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Lamphun WarriorThai League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Uthai ThaniThai League 1 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Chonburi FCThai League 1 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| KanchanaburiThai League 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Rayong FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Thai League 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Buriram United are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 7 points from 3 games.
Rayong FC are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 7 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Buriram United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Rayong FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Uthai Thani | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Prachuap | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Bangkok United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Port FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | BG Pathum United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Chiangrai United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Sukhothai FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasi Salai United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.