Thai League 2 · Regular Season - 5
Police TerovsNakhon Ratchasima FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Thai League 2
- Venue
- Boonyachinda Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Police Tero vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: match review and analysis
Police Tero vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC in Thai League 2 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Police Tero recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 19. Nakhon Ratchasima FC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Police Tero | Nakhon Ratchasima FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Police Tero: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 1.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Police Tero recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khon Kaen UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SongkhlaThai League 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Esan PattayaThai League 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Muang Loei UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ChanthaburiThai League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Phrae UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ChainatThai League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2 | Away | 3–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Police Tero’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nakhon Ratchasima FC recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChainatThai League 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nakhon PathomThai League 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Chonburi FCThai League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sukhothai FCThai League 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BG Pathum UnitedThai League 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Muangthong UnitedThai League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bangkok UnitedThai League 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Uthai ThaniThai League 1 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Nakhon Ratchasima FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Thai League 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Police Tero are ranked 11 in Thai Division 1, with 6 points from 4 games.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC are ranked 17 in Thai Division 1, with 2 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khon Kaen United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Uttaradit | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Muang Loei United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Phrae United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Chainat | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Muangthong United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Satun | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Kanchanaburi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Police Tero | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Songkhla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Chanthaburi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Nakhon Pathom | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Esan Pattaya | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Mahasarakham United | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.