III Liga - Group 1 · Group I - 12
Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsPelikan Łowicz
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz: match review and analysis
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz in III Liga - Group 1 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 25 and conceding 15. Pelikan Łowicz recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | Pelikan Łowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: (2.32 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pelikan Łowicz: (1.41 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Widzew IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Olimpia ZambrówIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm.III Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SwitIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ząbkovia ZąbkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| TroszynIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pelikan Łowicz recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Olimpia ZambrówIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm.III Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SwitIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Ząbkovia ZąbkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TroszynIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ŁKS Łódź IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mławianka MławaIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Pelikan Łowicz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki are ranked 3 in Group I, with 21 points from 11 games.
Pelikan Łowicz are ranked 5 in Group I, with 20 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Swit | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Pelikan Łowicz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Wisła Płock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrów | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elbląg | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | ŁKS Łódź II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Mławianka Mława | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Łomża | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.