Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 · Group 5 - 3
Diagoras AgiasvsThiva
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 2 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Diagoras Agias vs Thiva: match review and analysis
Diagoras Agias vs Thiva in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Diagoras Agias recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the 2 games used here, scoring 1 and conceding 0. Thiva recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 12 scored and 29 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Diagoras Agias | Thiva |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 1 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 0 | 29 |
| Over 1.5 games | 0 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Diagoras Agias: (0.43 weighted goals scored + 3.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Thiva: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 0.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 2 GAMES
Diagoras Agias recent form
0.50 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per game. 0 of 2 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras StavrosGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nea ArtakiGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Diagoras Agias’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 2 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Thiva recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KifissosGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FokikosGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Agios NikolaosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Nea IoniaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| MarkoGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ethnikos PiraeusGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| IlisiakosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| GiouchtasGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| ChaidariGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Aris PetroupolisGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Thiva’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Diagoras Agias are ranked 4 in Group 5, with 4 points from 2 games.
Thiva are ranked 11 in Group 5, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kifissos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Fokikos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | A. Schimatari | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Diagoras Agias | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Karystos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lamia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tamynaikos Aliveriou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Katsantonis Agrafon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Nea Artaki | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Asteras Stavros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Thiva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.