Liga III - Serie 1 · Group 1 - 8
Târgu SecuiescvsAerostar Bacau
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Târgu Secuiesc vs Aerostar Bacau: match review and analysis
Târgu Secuiesc vs Aerostar Bacau in Liga III - Serie 1 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Târgu Secuiesc recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 20. Aerostar Bacau recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Târgu Secuiesc | Aerostar Bacau |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Târgu Secuiesc: (2.19 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Aerostar Bacau: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 1.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Târgu Secuiesc recent form
1.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odorheiu SecuiescLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Bradul PutnaLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CSM FC VasluiLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| GheorgheniLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| CSM AdjudLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC Bacău IILiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| USV IaşiLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CSM AdjudCupa României | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC BacauFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Popești-LeordeniFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Târgu Secuiesc’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Aerostar Bacau recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PaşcaniLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Odorheiu SecuiescLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bradul PutnaLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CSM FC VasluiLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| GheorgheniLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CSM AdjudLiga III - Serie 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Viitorul OnestiCupa României | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CSM FC VasluiCupa României | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bucovina RădăuţiLiga III - Serie 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Aerostar Bacau’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Aerostar Bacau are ranked 4 in Group 1, with 12 points from 7 games.
Târgu Secuiesc are ranked 5 in Group 1, with 11 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | CSM Adjud | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Aerostar Bacau | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Târgu Secuiesc | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Bacău II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
| 7 | Bradul Putna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Gheorgheni | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Viitorul Onesti | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 2 |
| 12 | Paşcani | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.