Premier League · Regular Season - 1
Kedus GiorgisvsNegelle Arsi
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kedus Giorgis vs Negelle Arsi: match review and analysis
Kedus Giorgis vs Negelle Arsi in Premier League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Kedus Giorgis recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Negelle Arsi recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 10 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kedus Giorgis | Negelle Arsi |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kedus Giorgis: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Negelle Arsi: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 0.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kedus Giorgis recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fasil KetemaPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Suhul ShirePremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MekelakeyaPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Dire Dawa KenemaPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Awassa KenemaPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Welayta DichaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mekelle KenemaPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ethiopia Nigd BankPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sidama BunnaPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kedus Giorgis’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Negelle Arsi recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mekelle KenemaPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ethiopia Nigd BankPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sidama BunnaPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Awassa KenemaPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Welayta DichaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Suhul ShirePremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MekelakeyaPremier League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Dire Dawa KenemaPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fasil KetemaPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Negelle Arsi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kedus Giorgis are ranked 4 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Negelle Arsi are ranked 16 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adama Kenema | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Halaba Ketema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Kedus Giorgis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Awassa Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Mekelakeya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Ethiopian Medhin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sidama Bunna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Welayta Dicha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Bunna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Fasil Ketema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bahardar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hosaena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Gamo Chencha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Negelle Arsi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sheger Ketema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Mebrat Hayl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.