Super League · Regular Season - 16
EkhayavsKamuzu Barracks
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Ekhaya vs Kamuzu Barracks: match review and analysis
Ekhaya vs Kamuzu Barracks in Super League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Ekhaya recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Kamuzu Barracks recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ekhaya | Kamuzu Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ekhaya: (0.64 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kamuzu Barracks: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ekhaya recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karonga UnitedSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CreckSuper League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Silver StrikersSuper League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dedza DynamosSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chitipa UnitedSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nyasa Big BulletsSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mitundu BaptistSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MAFCOSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Be Forward WanderersSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Masters FCSuper League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ekhaya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kamuzu Barracks recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIVO UnitedSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Moyale BarracksSuper League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Be Forward WanderersSuper League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Red LionsSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MAFCOSuper League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Blue EaglesSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Masters FCSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chitipa UnitedSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nyasa Big BulletsSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dedza DynamosSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kamuzu Barracks’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ekhaya are ranked 11 in Regular Season, with 18 points from 15 games.
Kamuzu Barracks are ranked 15 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Be Forward Wanderers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 21 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | CIVO United | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Ekhaya | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 15 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 14 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Creck | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.