Super League · Regular Season - 16
Mitundu BaptistvsRed Lions
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mitundu Baptist vs Red Lions: match review and analysis
Mitundu Baptist vs Red Lions in Super League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Mitundu Baptist recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Red Lions recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 6 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mitundu Baptist | Red Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mitundu Baptist: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Red Lions: (0.63 weighted goals scored + 0.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mitundu Baptist recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedza DynamosSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nyasa Big BulletsSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chitipa UnitedSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Karonga UnitedSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Silver StrikersSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CreckSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| EkhayaSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Blue EaglesSuper League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Moyale BarracksSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CIVO UnitedSuper League | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mitundu Baptist’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Red Lions recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masters FCSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Be Forward WanderersSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Moyale BarracksSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kamuzu BarracksSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Blue EaglesSuper League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MAFCOSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CIVO UnitedSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Silver StrikersSuper League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Chitipa UnitedSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Karonga UnitedSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Red Lions’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mitundu Baptist are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 20 points from 15 games.
Red Lions are ranked 9 in Regular Season, with 20 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Be Forward Wanderers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 21 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | CIVO United | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Ekhaya | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 15 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 14 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Creck | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.