Super League · Regular Season - 16
Chitipa UnitedvsMAFCO
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Chitipa United vs MAFCO: match review and analysis
Chitipa United vs MAFCO in Super League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Chitipa United recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 10. MAFCO recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 8 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chitipa United | MAFCO |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chitipa United: (0.68 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
MAFCO: (0.66 weighted goals scored + 0.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chitipa United recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CreckSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Karonga UnitedSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mitundu BaptistSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nyasa Big BulletsSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| EkhayaSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dedza DynamosSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Silver StrikersSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kamuzu BarracksSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Red LionsSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Be Forward WanderersSuper League | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chitipa United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
MAFCO recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyale BarracksSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CIVO UnitedSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Masters FCSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Blue EaglesSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kamuzu BarracksSuper League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Red LionsSuper League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Be Forward WanderersSuper League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| EkhayaSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dedza DynamosSuper League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Silver StrikersSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from MAFCO’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Chitipa United are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 21 points from 15 games.
MAFCO are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Be Forward Wanderers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 21 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | CIVO United | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Ekhaya | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 15 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 14 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Creck | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.