Super League · Regular Season - 23
QizilqumvsSurkhon
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Qizilqum vs Surkhon: match review and analysis
Qizilqum vs Surkhon in Super League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Qizilqum recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Surkhon recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 5 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Qizilqum | Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Qizilqum: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Surkhon: (0.59 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Qizilqum recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XorazmSuper League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo SamarqandSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BuxoroSuper League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| NasafSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SogdianaSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mash'alSuper League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| NeftchiSuper League | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| NasafSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NavbahorSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dinamo SamarqandSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Qizilqum’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Surkhon recent form
0.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 2 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kokand-1912Super League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NeftchiSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BunyodkorSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PFK GulistonCup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| OlmaliqSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PakhtakorSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SogdianaSuper League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NavbahorSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kokand-1912Super League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| XorazmSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Surkhon’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Qizilqum are ranked 10 in Super League, with 29 points from 22 games.
Surkhon are ranked 12 in Super League, with 26 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Neftchi | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 19 | 33 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Olmaliq | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 35 |
| 8 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarqand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Kokand-1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 47 | -36 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.