HNL · Regular Season - 9
HNK Hajduk SplitvsDinamo Zagreb
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- HNL
- Venue
- Stadion Poljud
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb: match review and analysis
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb in HNL on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
HNK Hajduk Split recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 8. Dinamo Zagreb recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 22 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | HNK Hajduk Split | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
HNK Hajduk Split: (2.11 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dinamo Zagreb: (2.30 weighted goals scored + 0.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
HNK Hajduk Split recent form
2.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK RijekaHNL | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| NK Slaven BelupoHNL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VardaracCup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| RudesHNL | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Raków CzęstochowaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| NK OsijekHNL | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Raków CzęstochowaUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HNK GoricaHNL | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FK Zalgiris VilniusUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from HNK Hajduk Split’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dinamo Zagreb recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VukovarCup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NK OsijekHNL | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Bedem IvankovoCup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| HNK GoricaHNL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Istra 1961HNL | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VikingUEFA Champions League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NK VarazdinHNL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| VikingUEFA Champions League | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Dinamo Zagreb’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
HNL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Dinamo Zagreb are ranked 1 in HNL, with 16 points from 7 games.
HNK Hajduk Split are ranked 2 in HNL, with 16 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | HNK Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | NK Varazdin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | Rudes | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.