Second League · Regular Season - 12
MarekvsBeroe
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League
- Venue
- Stadion Bonchuk
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Marek vs Beroe: match review and analysis
Marek vs Beroe in Second League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Marek recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Beroe recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Marek | Beroe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Marek: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Beroe: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Marek recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chavdar TroyanCup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaSecond League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rilski SportistSecond League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Pirin BlagoevgradSecond League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Yantra 2019Second League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| NesebarSecond League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sportist SvogeSecond League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DobrudzhaSecond League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| MontanaSecond League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Etar Veliko TarnovoSecond League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Marek’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Beroe recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Minyor PernikCup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yantra 2019Second League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NesebarSecond League | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Sportist SvogeSecond League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| DobrudzhaSecond League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MontanaSecond League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Etar Veliko TarnovoSecond League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Spartak PlevenSecond League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FratriaSecond League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ludogorets IISecond League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Beroe’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Beroe are ranked 5 in B PFG, with 18 points from 11 games.
Marek are ranked 12 in B PFG, with 14 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Fratria | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Beroe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Rilski Sportist | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Nesebar | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Yantra 2019 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Hebar 1918 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Marek | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Spartak Pleven | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Ludogorets II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 33 | -29 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.