Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 7
ZiravsŞamaxı FK
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premyer Liqa
- Venue
- Zira Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Zira vs Şamaxı FK: match review and analysis
Zira vs Şamaxı FK in Premyer Liqa on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Zira recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Şamaxı FK recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Zira | Şamaxı FK |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Zira: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Şamaxı FK: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Zira recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuranPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QarabagPremyer Liqa | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sabah FAPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Imisli FKPremyer Liqa | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Safa BakuPremyer Liqa | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PaideUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PaideUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Torpedo KutaisiUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Torpedo KutaisiUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Zira’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Şamaxı FK recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SumqayıtPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KapazPremyer Liqa | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TuranPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| QarabagPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TuranPremyer Liqa | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Sabah FAPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Şamaxı FK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premyer Liqa — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Zira are ranked 5 in Premyer Liqasi, with 10 points from 6 games.
Şamaxı FK are ranked 7 in Premyer Liqasi, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah FA | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Qabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 |
| 11 | Sumqayıt | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.