Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 11
Levski Sofia IIvsFK Minyor Pernik
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Levski Sofia II vs FK Minyor Pernik: match review and analysis
Levski Sofia II vs FK Minyor Pernik in Third League - Southwest on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Levski Sofia II recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 12. FK Minyor Pernik recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 22 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Levski Sofia II | FK Minyor Pernik |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Levski Sofia II: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 0.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FK Minyor Pernik: (2.25 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Levski Sofia II recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Natsional SofiaThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KostinbrodThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BelasitsaThird League - Southwest | Away | 5–4 | Won | |
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Levski Sofia II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FK Minyor Pernik recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| BeroeCup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| OborishteThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BanskoThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BelasitsaThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from FK Minyor Pernik’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FK Minyor Pernik are ranked 1 in Southwest, with 23 points from 10 games.
Levski Sofia II are ranked 11 in Southwest, with 12 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Kostinbrod | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Levski Sofia II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Slivnishki geroy | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Belasitsa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.