Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 11
Slivnishki geroyvsNatsional Sofia
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Slivnishki geroy vs Natsional Sofia: match review and analysis
Slivnishki geroy vs Natsional Sofia in Third League - Southwest on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Slivnishki geroy recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Natsional Sofia recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Slivnishki geroy | Natsional Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Slivnishki geroy: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 1.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Natsional Sofia: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Slivnishki geroy recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KostinbrodThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BelasitsaThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Slivnishki geroy’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Natsional Sofia recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaCup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| OborishteThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BanskoThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Natsional Sofia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Slivnishki geroy are ranked 13 in Southwest, with 11 points from 10 games.
Natsional Sofia are ranked 17 in Southwest, with 7 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Kostinbrod | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Levski Sofia II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Slivnishki geroy | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Belasitsa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.