Third League - Southeast · Southeast - 10
Spartak PlovdivvsDimitrovgrad
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Spartak Plovdiv vs Dimitrovgrad: match review and analysis
Spartak Plovdiv vs Dimitrovgrad in Third League - Southeast on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Spartak Plovdiv recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 14. Dimitrovgrad recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 14 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Spartak Plovdiv | Dimitrovgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Spartak Plovdiv: (2.04 weighted goals scored + 1.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dimitrovgrad: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Spartak Plovdiv recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev IhtimanCup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rodopa SmolyanThird League - Southeast | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Gigant SaedinenieThird League - Southeast | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Maritsa PlovdivThird League - Southeast | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rozova dolinaThird League - Southeast | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yambol 1915Third League - Southeast | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ZagoretsThird League - Southeast | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| SozopolThird League - Southeast | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Yambol 1915Third League - Southeast | Away | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Spartak Plovdiv’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dimitrovgrad recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritsa PlovdivThird League - Southeast | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rozova dolinaThird League - Southeast | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Yambol 1915Third League - Southeast | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ZagoretsThird League - Southeast | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| SozopolThird League - Southeast | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIThird League - Southeast | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Levski KrumovgradThird League - Southeast | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Maritsa MilevoThird League - Southeast | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atletik KuklenThird League - Southeast | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dimitrovgrad’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Spartak Plovdiv are ranked 3 in Southeast, with 21 points from 8 games.
Dimitrovgrad are ranked 13 in Southeast, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Krumovgrad | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 24 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Sayana Haskovo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Neftochimic Burgas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Rozova dolina | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.