Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 9
Cherno more IIvsRiltzi
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Cherno more II vs Riltzi: match review and analysis
Cherno more II vs Riltzi in Third League - Northeast on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Cherno more II recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Riltzi recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 29 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cherno more II | Riltzi |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 29 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cherno more II: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 3.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Riltzi: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cherno more II recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Chernomorets BalchikThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chernolomets 1919Third League - Northeast | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Ludogorets IIIThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Septemvri TervelThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cherno more II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Riltzi recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernolomets 1919Third League - Northeast | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Ludogorets IIIThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Septemvri DragoevoThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Ustrem DonchevoThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| DorostolThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Devnya 2005Third League - Northeast | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ustrem DonchevoThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–9 | Lost | |
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Riltzi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cherno more II are ranked 8 in Northeast, with 10 points from 7 games.
Riltzi are ranked 10 in Northeast, with 9 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volov Shumen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 16 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Chernolomets 1919 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Cherno more II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Devnya 2005 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
| 14 | Olympic Varna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 1 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.