Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 9
Chernomorets BalchikvsVolov Shumen
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northeast
- Venue
- Balchik Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Chernomorets Balchik vs Volov Shumen: match review and analysis
Chernomorets Balchik vs Volov Shumen in Third League - Northeast on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Chernomorets Balchik recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 7. Volov Shumen recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 40 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chernomorets Balchik | Volov Shumen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 40 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chernomorets Balchik: (2.05 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Volov Shumen: (3.38 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chernomorets Balchik recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etar Veliko TarnovoCup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Cherno more IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Chernolomets 1919Third League - Northeast | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Chernomorets Balchik’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Volov Shumen recent form
4.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernomorets 1919 BurgasCup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ludogorets IIIThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Septemvri DragoevoThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Ustrem DonchevoThird League - Northeast | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Home | 9–0 | Won | |
| DorostolThird League - Northeast | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Devnya 2005Third League - Northeast | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Septemvri TervelThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 7–0 | Won | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Home | 9–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Volov Shumen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Volov Shumen are ranked 1 in Northeast, with 16 points from 7 games.
Chernomorets Balchik are ranked 5 in Northeast, with 14 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volov Shumen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 16 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Chernolomets 1919 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Cherno more II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Devnya 2005 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
| 14 | Olympic Varna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 1 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.