Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 9
Ustrem DonchevovsDorostol
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Ustrem Donchevo vs Dorostol: match review and analysis
Ustrem Donchevo vs Dorostol in Third League - Northeast on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ustrem Donchevo recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 30. Dorostol recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 9 scored and 33 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ustrem Donchevo | Dorostol |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 30 | 33 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ustrem Donchevo: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 3.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dorostol: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 2.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ustrem Donchevo recent form
2.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devnya 2005Third League - Northeast | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Septemvri TervelThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Ustrem Donchevo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dorostol recent form
0.90 goals scored and 3.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Devnya 2005Third League - Northeast | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Chernolomets 1919Third League - Northeast | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Svetkavitsa TargovishteThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Ludogorets IIIThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–9 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dorostol’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ustrem Donchevo are ranked 16 in Northeast, with 1 points from 8 games.
Dorostol are ranked 17 in Northeast, with 1 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volov Shumen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 16 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Chernolomets 1919 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Cherno more II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Devnya 2005 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
| 14 | Olympic Varna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 1 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.