National Soccer League · Regular Season - 4
Al MerreikhvsEtoile de l'Est
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Match Postponed
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawPostponed
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National Soccer League
- Venue
- Al Merreikh Stadium
- Status
- Match Postponed
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Al Merreikh vs Etoile de l'Est: match review and analysis
Al Merreikh vs Etoile de l'Est in National Soccer League on 10 October 2026. Match status: Match Postponed.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Al Merreikh recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Etoile de l'Est recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al Merreikh | Etoile de l'Est |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al Merreikh: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Etoile de l'Est: (0.70 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Merreikh recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AmagajuNational Soccer League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Power DynamosCAF Champions League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Power DynamosCAF Champions League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GorillaNational Soccer League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| APRNational Soccer League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al Hilal OmdurmanNational Soccer League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AmagajuNational Soccer League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kiyovu SportsNational Soccer League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EtincellesNational Soccer League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| GicumbiNational Soccer League | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Al Merreikh’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Etoile de l'Est recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GicumbiNational Soccer League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AS KigaliNational Soccer League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AmagajuNational Soccer League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BugeseraNational Soccer League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PoliceNational Soccer League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MarinesNational Soccer League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AmagajuNational Soccer League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| GorillaNational Soccer League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gasogi UnitedNational Soccer League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kiyovu SportsNational Soccer League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Etoile de l'Est’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National Soccer League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al Merreikh are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 1 points from 1 games.
Etoile de l'Est are ranked 16 in Regular Season, with 1 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Gorilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Amagaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 6 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Mukura | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Marines | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Police | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Musanze | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Kiyovu Sports | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Sunrise | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Rayon Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Etoile de l'Est | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gasogi United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.