National Soccer League · Regular Season - 4
MarinesvsKiyovu Sports
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National Soccer League
- Venue
- Umuganda Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Marines vs Kiyovu Sports: match review and analysis
Marines vs Kiyovu Sports in National Soccer League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Marines recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Kiyovu Sports recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 5 scored and 4 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Marines | Kiyovu Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 4 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Marines: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 0.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kiyovu Sports: (0.49 weighted goals scored + 1.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Marines recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APRNational Soccer League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| AS KigaliNational Soccer League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MuhangaNational Soccer League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| MusanzeNational Soccer League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EtincellesNational Soccer League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Rayon SportsNational Soccer League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BugeseraNational Soccer League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Gasogi UnitedNational Soccer League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PoliceNational Soccer League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AS KigaliNational Soccer League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Marines’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kiyovu Sports recent form
0.50 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 2 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BugeseraNational Soccer League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MusanzeNational Soccer League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GorillaNational Soccer League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rayon SportsNational Soccer League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PoliceNational Soccer League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MuhangaNational Soccer League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al MerreikhNational Soccer League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AmagajuNational Soccer League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MusanzeNational Soccer League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EtincellesNational Soccer League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kiyovu Sports’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National Soccer League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Marines are ranked 9 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 2 games.
Kiyovu Sports are ranked 12 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Gorilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Amagaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 6 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Mukura | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Marines | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Police | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Musanze | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Kiyovu Sports | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Sunrise | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Rayon Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Etoile de l'Est | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gasogi United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.