Campionato · Regular Season - 5
FaetanovsFiorentino
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Match information
- Competition
- Campionato
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
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Real Scored match analysis
Faetano vs Fiorentino: match review and analysis
Faetano vs Fiorentino in Campionato on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Faetano recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 19. Fiorentino recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 13 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Faetano | Fiorentino |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Faetano: (0.38 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fiorentino: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Faetano recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LibertasCampionato | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| San Marino AcademyCampionato | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DomagnanoCoppa Titano | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Tre FioriCampionato | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Juvenes / DoganaCampionato | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| CosmosCampionato | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tre FioriCampionato | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FiorentinoCampionato | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| DomagnanoCampionato | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| San GiovanniCampionato | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Faetano’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fiorentino recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PennarossaCampionato | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| La FioritaCampionato | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tre FioriCoppa Titano | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VirtusCampionato | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| San Marino AcademyCampionato | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| La FioritaCampionato | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| La FioritaCampionato | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| La FioritaCampionato | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MurataCampionato | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| FaetanoCampionato | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fiorentino’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campionato — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Fiorentino are ranked 9 in Campionato, with 4 points from 4 games.
Faetano are ranked 16 in Campionato, with 2 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Tre Penne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 9 |
| 5 | Cosmos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | La Fiorita | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Libertas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Fiorentino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Juvenes / Dogana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Cailungo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Murata | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | San Giovanni | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Pennarossa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 3 |
| 15 | San Marino Academy | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Faetano | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.