Premier League · Regular Season - 1
Welayta DichavsFasil Ketema
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema: match review and analysis
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema in Premier League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Welayta Dicha recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Fasil Ketema recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Welayta Dicha | Fasil Ketema |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Welayta Dicha: (0.80 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fasil Ketema: (0.86 weighted goals scored + 0.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Welayta Dicha recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia BunnaPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Adama KenemaPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mebrat HaylPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BahardarPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Negelle ArsiPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ethiopian MedhinPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kedus GiorgisPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Arba Minch KenemaPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Hadiya HosaenaPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sheger KetemaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Welayta Dicha’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fasil Ketema recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopian MedhinPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kedus GiorgisPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Arba Minch KenemaPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hadiya HosaenaPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sheger KetemaPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ethiopia BunnaPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Adama KenemaPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Mebrat HaylPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BahardarPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Negelle ArsiPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Fasil Ketema’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Welayta Dicha are ranked 10 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Fasil Ketema are ranked 12 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adama Kenema | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Halaba Ketema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Kedus Giorgis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Awassa Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Mekelakeya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Ethiopian Medhin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sidama Bunna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Welayta Dicha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Bunna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Fasil Ketema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bahardar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hosaena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Gamo Chencha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Negelle Arsi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sheger Ketema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Mebrat Hayl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.