Segunda División · 2nd Phase - 22
CA River PlatevsOriental
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
CA River Plate vs Oriental: match review and analysis
CA River Plate vs Oriental in Segunda División on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
CA River Plate recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Oriental recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | CA River Plate | Oriental |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
CA River Plate: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Oriental: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
CA River Plate recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La LuzSegunda División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ColónSegunda División | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| CerritoSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Albion FCCopa Uruguay | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FenixSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AtenasSegunda División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Club NacionalCopa Uruguay | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| RentistasSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ProgresoCopa Uruguay | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PaysanduSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from CA River Plate’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Oriental recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ColónSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FenixSegunda División | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| RentistasSegunda División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Central EspanolCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MiramarSegunda División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TacuaremboSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Racing MontevideoCopa Uruguay | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Plaza ColoniaSegunda División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| JuventudCopa Uruguay | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| La LuzSegunda División | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Oriental’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Oriental are ranked 1 in 1st Phase, with 13 points from 6 games.
CA River Plate are ranked 13 in 1st Phase, with 4 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Sportivo Huracan | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Colón | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
Oriental are ranked 3 in 2nd Phase, with 32 points from 21 games.
CA River Plate are ranked 5 in 2nd Phase, with 30 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Rentistas | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 33 |
| 3 | Oriental | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 | CA River Plate | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Colón | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 30 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | Sportivo Huracan | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Miramar | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 25 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.