FKF Premier League · Regular Season - 1
GOR MahiavsMurang'a SEAL
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FKF Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL: match review and analysis
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL in FKF Premier League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
GOR Mahia recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Murang'a SEAL recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 10 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
GOR Mahia: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Murang'a SEAL: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
GOR Mahia recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FCCAF Champions League | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Pyramids FCCAF Champions League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Rayon SportsCECAFA Club Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al Hilal OmdurmanCECAFA Club Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al-Haras Al-JumhuriCECAFA Club Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VipersCECAFA Club Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| APRCECAFA Club Cup | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Nairobi UnitedFKF Premier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mara SugarFKF Premier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Murang'a SEALFKF Premier League | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from GOR Mahia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Murang'a SEAL recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mara SugarFKF Premier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bidco UnitedFKF Premier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GOR MahiaFKF Premier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| HomeboyzFKF Premier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PoliceFKF Premier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kariobangi SharksFKF Premier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nairobi UnitedFKF Premier League | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| MfalmeShield Cup | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| AFC LeopardsFKF Premier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ShabanaFKF Premier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Murang'a SEAL’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FKF Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
GOR Mahia are ranked 4 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Murang'a SEAL are ranked 14 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | GOR Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Posta Rangers FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Police | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Migori Youth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Shabana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Mombasa Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.