Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5
1899 HoffenheimvsHamburger SV
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Venue
- Prezero Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV: match review and analysis
1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV in Bundesliga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
1899 Hoffenheim recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 18. Hamburger SV recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | 1899 Hoffenheim | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
1899 Hoffenheim: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 1.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hamburger SV: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 1.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
1899 Hoffenheim recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| OFIUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| VfB StuttgartBundesliga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Borussia DortmundBundesliga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| 1. FC KölnBundesliga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Erzgebirge AueDFB Pokal | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| TottenhamFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TottenhamFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Karlsruher SCFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hamburger SV recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC CopenhagenFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| 1. FC KölnBundesliga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| RB LeipzigBundesliga | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Borussia DortmundBundesliga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| VerlDFB Pokal | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| ToulouseFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LilleFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| EvertonFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| 1. FC HeidenheimFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Hamburger SV’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Bundesliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
1899 Hoffenheim are ranked 14 in Bundesliga, with 3 points from 4 games.
Hamburger SV are ranked 16 in Bundesliga, with 3 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.