Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5
FC AugsburgvsBayern München
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Venue
- WWK Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC Augsburg vs Bayern München: match review and analysis
FC Augsburg vs Bayern München in Bundesliga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FC Augsburg recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 35 and conceding 19. Bayern München recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, with 34 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Augsburg | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 35 | 34 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Augsburg: (2.94 weighted goals scored + 0.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bayern München: (3.33 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Augsburg recent form
3.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Werder BremenBundesliga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| FC Schalke 04Bundesliga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Energie CottbusDFB Pokal | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| LeedsFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| SassuoloFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| SchwazFriendlies Clubs | Away | 15–0 | Won | |
| BournemouthFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC Augsburg’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bayern München recent form
3.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union BerlinBundesliga | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| SV ElversbergBundesliga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| FC Schalke 04Bundesliga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VfL OsnabrückDFB Pokal | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| VfB StuttgartBundesliga | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Borussia DortmundSuper Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| 1. FC HeidenheimFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| RB LeipzigFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Bayern München’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Bundesliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bayern München are ranked 2 in Bundesliga, with 10 points from 4 games.
FC Augsburg are ranked 5 in Bundesliga, with 7 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.