FAW Championship · South - 11
Ynyshir Albionsvsllanelli AFC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FAW Championship
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC: match review and analysis
Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC in FAW Championship on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Ynyshir Albions recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 9. llanelli AFC recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses, with 7 scored and 27 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ynyshir Albions | llanelli AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 27 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ynyshir Albions: (1.01 weighted goals scored + 2.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
llanelli AFC: (0.56 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ynyshir Albions recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treowen StarsFAW Championship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Carmarthen TownFAW Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Afan LidoFAW Championship | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Newport CityFAW Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Caerphilly AthleticFAW Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cardiff DraconiansFAW Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Aberystwyth TownFAW Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ynyshir Albions’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
llanelli AFC recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan DragonsFAW Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Llantwit MajorFAW Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Treowen StarsFAW Championship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Aberystwyth TownFAW Championship | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Carmarthen TownFAW Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cardiff DraconiansFAW Championship | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Swansea UniversityFAW Championship | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Newport CityFAW Championship | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from llanelli AFC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FAW Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ynyshir Albions are ranked 7 in South, with 13 points from 8 games.
llanelli AFC are ranked 16 in South, with 2 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 21 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen Stars | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 |
| 11 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Caersws | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Llanuwchllyn | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 30 | -26 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.