3. SNL - West · West - 9
Zidgrad IdrijavsTolmin
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. SNL - West
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Zidgrad Idrija vs Tolmin: match review and analysis
Zidgrad Idrija vs Tolmin in 3. SNL - West on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Zidgrad Idrija recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Tolmin recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 21 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Zidgrad Idrija | Tolmin |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Zidgrad Idrija: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tolmin: (2.39 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Zidgrad Idrija recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šencur3. SNL - West | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Dob3. SNL - West | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Vipava3. SNL - West | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Adria3. SNL - West | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Litija3. SNL - West | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Šobec Lesce3. SNL - West | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| IB 1975 Ljubljana3. SNL - West | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Svoboda3. SNL - West | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bistrc3. SNL - West | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Žiri3. SNL - West | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Zidgrad Idrija’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tolmin recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svoboda3. SNL - West | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rudar Trbovlje3. SNL - West | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Izola3. SNL - West | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Žiri3. SNL - West | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Škofja Loka3. SNL - West | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| IB 1975 Ljubljana3. SNL - West | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Šencur3. SNL - West | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Dob3. SNL - West | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Žiri3. SNL - West | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Vipava3. SNL - West | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Tolmin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. SNL - West — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Zidgrad Idrija are ranked 3 in West, with 16 points from 8 games.
Tolmin are ranked 4 in West, with 15 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izola | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 5 | 31 | 24 |
| 2 | Dob | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Zidgrad Idrija | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tolmin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Šencur | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Litija | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Škofja Loka | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Rudar Trbovlje | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
| 9 | Adria | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Žiri | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | IB 1975 Ljubljana | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Vipava | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
| 13 | Šobec Lesce | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 3 |
| 14 | Svoboda | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.