First NL · Regular Season - 8
VukovarvsHrvace
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First NL
- Venue
- Stadion Gradski vrt
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Vukovar vs Hrvace: match review and analysis
Vukovar vs Hrvace in First NL on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Vukovar recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Hrvace recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 8 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Vukovar | Hrvace |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Vukovar: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hrvace: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 2.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Vukovar recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo ZagrebCup | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| OpatijaFirst NL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Jadran LPFirst NL | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Croatia ZmijavciFirst NL | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| HNK CibaliaCup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| HNK CibaliaFirst NL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dinamo Zagreb U21First NL | Home | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Segesta SisakFirst NL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Radnički DaljCup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Mladost ŽdraloviFirst NL | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Vukovar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hrvace recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orijent 1919First NL | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Bsk Bijelo BrdoFirst NL | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dubrava ZagrebFirst NL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Karlovac 1919First NL | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| OpatijaFirst NL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Jadran LPFirst NL | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Croatia ZmijavciFirst NL | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dubrava ZagrebFirst NL | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Croatia ZmijavciFirst NL | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Bsk Bijelo BrdoFirst NL | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hrvace’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First NL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vukovar are ranked 14 in 2 HNL, with 8 points from 7 games.
Hrvace are ranked 16 in 2 HNL, with 7 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran LP | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Mladost Ždralovi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Croatia Zmijavci | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | HNK Cibalia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Segesta Sisak | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Karlovac 1919 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Sesvete | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Dugopolje | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Dubrava Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Opatija | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Orijent 1919 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Vukovar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Kustosija | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Hrvace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.