Second NL · Regular Season - 8
JarunvsVarteks Varaždin
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second NL
- Venue
- Stadion NK Jarun
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Jarun vs Varteks Varaždin: match review and analysis
Jarun vs Varteks Varaždin in Second NL on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Jarun recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Varteks Varaždin recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 9 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Jarun | Varteks Varaždin |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Jarun: (2.17 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Varteks Varaždin: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Jarun recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grobničan ČavleSecond NL | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| KriževciSecond NL | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TrnjeSecond NL | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Slavonija PožegaSecond NL | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ZagoraSecond NL | Home | 4–4 | Draw | |
| LuckoSecond NL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KriževciFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mladost ŽdraloviFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| HNK CibaliaFirst NL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Karlovac 1919First NL | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Jarun’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Varteks Varaždin recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KoprivnicaSecond NL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BjelovarSecond NL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter ZapresicSecond NL | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dugo SeloSecond NL | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Uskok KlisSecond NL | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Grobničan ČavleSecond NL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bedem IvankovoCup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KriževciSecond NL | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Mladost ŽdraloviFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Segesta SisakSecond NL | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Varteks Varaždin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second NL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Jarun are ranked 7 in Druga NL, with 10 points from 6 games.
Varteks Varaždin are ranked 16 in Druga NL, with 5 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uskok Klis | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Bjelovar | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Uljanik | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 | Trnje | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Dugo Selo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Solin | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Jarun | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Križevci | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Zagora | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Slavonija Požega | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Inter Zapresic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Grobničan Čavle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Lucko | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Koprivnica | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 | Varteks Varaždin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.