Persian Gulf Pro League · Regular Season - 8
PaykanvsShams Azar Qazvin
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Persian Gulf Pro League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin: match review and analysis
Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin in Persian Gulf Pro League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Paykan recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Shams Azar Qazvin recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 6 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Paykan | Shams Azar Qazvin |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Paykan: (0.63 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Shams Azar Qazvin: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 0.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Paykan recent form
0.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteghlal FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Aluminium ArakPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mes RafsanjanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Paykan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Shams Azar Qazvin recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Aluminium ArakPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Fajr SepasiPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Aluminium ArakPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Shams Azar Qazvin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persian Gulf Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Paykan are ranked 10 in Premier League, with 8 points from 7 games.
Shams Azar Qazvin are ranked 16 in Premier League, with 5 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor Sazi | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Persepolis FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | Esteghlal FC | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sepahan FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Aluminium Arak | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Foolad FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Chadormalu SC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Paykan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Malavan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | ZOB Ahan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Fajr Sepasi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.