Ettan - Södra · Södra - 26
AFC MalmovsSkövde AIK
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ettan - Södra
- Venue
- Hyllie IP
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK: match review and analysis
AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK in Ettan - Södra on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
AFC Malmo recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Skövde AIK recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 19 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | AFC Malmo | Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AFC Malmo: (1.59 weighted goals scored + 1.64 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Skövde AIK: (1.98 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AFC Malmo recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KristianstadEttan - Södra | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| EskilsminneEttan - Södra | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| UtsiktenEttan - Södra | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Hässleholms IFEttan - Södra | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TvååkerEttan - Södra | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atvidabergs FFEttan - Södra | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LaholmEttan - Södra | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LundEttan - Södra | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| OlympicEttan - Södra | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TrelleborgEttan - Södra | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from AFC Malmo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Skövde AIK recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UtsiktenEttan - Södra | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| OlympicEttan - Södra | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Jonkopings SodraEttan - Södra | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| TrollhättanEttan - Södra | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Angelholms FFEttan - Södra | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| TrelleborgEttan - Södra | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| TvååkerEttan - Södra | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HalmstadSvenska Cupen | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KristianstadEttan - Södra | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Atvidabergs FFEttan - Södra | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Skövde AIK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ettan - Södra — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
AFC Malmo are ranked 5 in South, with 41 points from 25 games.
Skövde AIK are ranked 10 in South, with 33 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 54 |
| 2 | Atvidabergs FF | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Hässleholms IF | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Lund | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 41 |
| 5 | AFC Malmo | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Trollhättan | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rosengård | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Jonkopings Sodra | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 33 |
| 9 | Tvååker | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 33 |
| 10 | Skövde AIK | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | Eskilsminne | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | Olympic | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 30 |
| 13 | Kristianstad | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Laholm | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Angelholms FF | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Utsikten | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 60 | -37 | 12 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.