Erovnuli Liga 2 · Regular Season - 28
SamtrediavsSioni
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Erovnuli Liga 2
- Venue
- Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Samtredia vs Sioni: match review and analysis
Samtredia vs Sioni in Erovnuli Liga 2 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Samtredia recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 26 and conceding 6. Sioni recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Samtredia | Sioni |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 26 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Samtredia: (2.74 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sioni: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 0.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Samtredia recent form
2.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RustaviDavid Kipiani Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Merani MartviliErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Kolkheti PotiErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GarejiErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| TelaviErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| FC Iberia 1999David Kipiani Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Odishi 1919Erovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ShturmiErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| GoriErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Aragvi DushetiErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Samtredia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sioni recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragvi DushetiErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Merani MartviliErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kolkheti PotiErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GarejiErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| TelaviErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Odishi 1919Erovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ShturmiErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GoriErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| GoriDavid Kipiani Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BKMAFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sioni’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Erovnuli Liga 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Samtredia are ranked 5 in Pirveli Liga, with 37 points from 27 games.
Sioni are ranked 7 in Pirveli Liga, with 33 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareji | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 50 |
| 2 | Telavi | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 43 |
| 3 | Shturmi | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 43 |
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 37 |
| 5 | Samtredia | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | Aragvi Dusheti | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Sioni | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | Odishi 1919 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 32 |
| 9 | Kolkheti Poti | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Gori | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.