Championship · Regular Season - 10
Inverness CTvsStenhousemuir
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir: match review and analysis
Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir in Championship on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Inverness CT recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Stenhousemuir recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 12 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Inverness CT | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Inverness CT: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 0.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Stenhousemuir: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Inverness CT recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MortonChampionship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LivingstonChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ayr UtdChampionship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Raith RoversChampionship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| StenhousemuirChampionship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PartickChampionship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Heart Of MidlothianLeague Cup | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| ArbroathChampionship | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DunfermlineChampionship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MortonLeague Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Inverness CT’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Stenhousemuir recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr UtdChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ArbroathChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PartickChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Heart Of MidlothianLeague Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| LivingstonChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Inverness CTChampionship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Queen's ParkChampionship | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MotherwellLeague Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MortonChampionship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Raith RoversChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Stenhousemuir’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Stenhousemuir are ranked 1 in Division1, with 22 points from 8 games.
Inverness CT are ranked 8 in Division1, with 10 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Partick | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Livingston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Arbroath | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 11 |
| 8 | Inverness CT | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Morton | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.