2. SNL · Regular Season - 10
JesenicevsBrežice
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 2. SNL
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Jesenice vs Brežice: match review and analysis
Jesenice vs Brežice in 2. SNL on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Jesenice recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Brežice recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses, with 9 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Jesenice | Brežice |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Jesenice: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 2.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Brežice: (0.80 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Jesenice recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triglav2. SNL | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Dren Vrhnika2. SNL | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Bilje2. SNL | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ilirija2. SNL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Krka2. SNL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Beltinci2. SNL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dekani2. SNL | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Krško2. SNL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tabor Sežana2. SNL | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dravinja2. SNL | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Jesenice’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Brežice recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primorje2. SNL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Slovan Ljubljana2. SNL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rudar2. SNL | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Triglav2. SNL | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Bistrica2. SNL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dravinja2. SNL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tabor Sežana2. SNL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dren Vrhnika2. SNL | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bilje2. SNL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HNK GoricaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Brežice’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
2. SNL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Jesenice are ranked 4 in 2 SNL, with 16 points from 9 games.
Brežice are ranked 16 in 2 SNL, with 2 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabor Sežana | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Triglav | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Beltinci | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Jesenice | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Slovan Ljubljana | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
| 6 | Rudar | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Bilje | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Dren Vrhnika | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Ilirija | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Bistrica | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Dekani | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Primorje | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Krško | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Krka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Dravinja | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 |
| 16 | Brežice | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.