Premiership · Regular Season - 11
Crusaders FCvsLarne
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Match information
- Competition
- Premiership
- Venue
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- Status
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- Score
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- 90-minute score
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Real Scored match analysis
Crusaders FC vs Larne: match review and analysis
Crusaders FC vs Larne in Premiership on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Crusaders FC recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 18. Larne recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 15 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Crusaders FC | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Crusaders FC: (1.54 weighted goals scored + 0.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Larne: (1.97 weighted goals scored + 1.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Crusaders FC recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick RangersPremiership | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| BangorPremiership | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| LinfieldPremiership | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dungannon SwiftsPremiership | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Limavady UnitedPremiership | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Coleraine FCPremiership | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| GlentoranPremiership | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PortadownPremiership | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Ballymena UnitedPremiership | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cliftonville FCPremiership | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Crusaders FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Larne recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick RangersPremiership | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Cliftonville FCPremiership | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PortadownPremiership | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| BangorPremiership | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GlentoranPremiership | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Coleraine FCPremiership | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Larne’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premiership — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Larne are ranked 4 in IFA Premiership, with 16 points from 6 games.
Crusaders FC are ranked 5 in IFA Premiership, with 15 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Linfield | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | Glentoran | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Larne | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Crusaders FC | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Cliftonville FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | Bangor | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 | Portadown | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.