Premiership · Regular Season - 11
Limavady UnitedvsBallymena United
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premiership
- Venue
- The Showgrounds
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
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Real Scored match analysis
Limavady United vs Ballymena United: match review and analysis
Limavady United vs Ballymena United in Premiership on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Limavady United recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Ballymena United recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Limavady United | Ballymena United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Limavady United: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ballymena United: (1.41 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Limavady United recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PortadownPremiership | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Cliftonville FCPremiership | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Coleraine FCPremiership | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BangorPremiership | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Crusaders FCPremiership | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dungannon SwiftsPremiership | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LinfieldPremiership | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Carrick RangersPremiership | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GlentoranPremiership | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Strabane AthleticFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Limavady United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ballymena United recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliftonville FCPremiership | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PortadownPremiership | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Dungannon SwiftsPremiership | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Carrick RangersPremiership | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Coleraine FCPremiership | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| BangorPremiership | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GlentoranPremiership | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Crusaders FCPremiership | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LinfieldPremiership | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Glenavon FCFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ballymena United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premiership — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ballymena United are ranked 8 in IFA Premiership, with 12 points from 9 games.
Limavady United are ranked 10 in IFA Premiership, with 9 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Linfield | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | Glentoran | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Larne | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Crusaders FC | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Cliftonville FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | Bangor | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 | Portadown | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.