League Two · Regular Season - 10
Crawley TownvsChesterfield
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League Two
- Venue
- Broadfield Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield: match review and analysis
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield in League Two on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Crawley Town recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Chesterfield recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Crawley Town | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Crawley Town: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chesterfield: (2.08 weighted goals scored + 1.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Crawley Town recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BromleyEFL Trophy | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Milton Keynes DonsEFL Trophy | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| GrimsbyLeague Two | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CheltenhamLeague Two | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Accrington STLeague Two | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| NorthamptonLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bristol RoversLeague Two | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RochdaleLeague Two | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CreweLeague Two | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| WatfordLeague Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Crawley Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chesterfield recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TranmereLeague Two | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| CheltenhamLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Port ValeEFL Trophy | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| YorkLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Manchester City U21EFL Trophy | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| OldhamLeague Two | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| GillinghamLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RotherhamLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Salford CityLeague Two | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Chesterfield’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League Two — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Chesterfield are ranked 8 in League Two, with 14 points from 9 games.
Crawley Town are ranked 24 in League Two, with 4 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | York | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport County | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington ST | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.