League Two · Regular Season - 10
RotherhamvsGillingham
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League Two
- Venue
- New York Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Rotherham vs Gillingham: match review and analysis
Rotherham vs Gillingham in League Two on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Rotherham recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Gillingham recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rotherham | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rotherham: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gillingham: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rotherham recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BradfordEFL Trophy | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Exeter CityLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CreweLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| YorkEFL Trophy | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NorthamptonLeague Two | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Salford CityLeague Two | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Bristol RoversLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TranmereLeague Two | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ChesterfieldLeague Two | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| YorkLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Rotherham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gillingham recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport CountyLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| YorkLeague Two | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Cambridge UnitedEFL Trophy | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Bristol RoversLeague Two | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| TranmereLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| RochdaleLeague Two | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| ChesterfieldLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NorthamptonLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fleetwood TownLeague Two | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| WalsallLeague Two | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Gillingham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League Two — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Gillingham are ranked 10 in League Two, with 13 points from 9 games.
Rotherham are ranked 17 in League Two, with 10 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | York | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport County | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington ST | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.