First League · Regular Season - 13
Shinnik YaroslavlvsTekstilshchik
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Shinnik
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik: match review and analysis
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik in First League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Shinnik Yaroslavl recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Tekstilshchik recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 8 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Tekstilshchik |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Shinnik Yaroslavl: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tekstilshchik: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Shinnik Yaroslavl recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ska-khabarovskFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KAMAZFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UralFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Torpedo MoskvaCup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rotor VolgogradFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| EniseyFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Volga UlyanovskFirst League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FK NeftekhimikFirst League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Arsenal TulaFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFirst League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Shinnik Yaroslavl’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tekstilshchik recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC OrenburgFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Rotor VolgogradFirst League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LeningradetsFirst League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Arsenal TulaCup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Torpedo MoskvaFirst League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| VelesFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UralFirst League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KAMAZFirst League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFirst League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| EniseyFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Tekstilshchik’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Shinnik Yaroslavl are ranked 9 in Regular Season, with 16 points from 12 games.
Tekstilshchik are ranked 17 in Regular Season, with 7 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Enisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshchik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.