National League · Regular Season - 13
AFC FyldevsScunthorpe
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- Mill Farm
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
AFC Fylde vs Scunthorpe: match review and analysis
AFC Fylde vs Scunthorpe in National League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
AFC Fylde recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Scunthorpe recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, with 16 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | AFC Fylde | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AFC Fylde: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Scunthorpe: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AFC Fylde recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SouthendNational League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CarlisleNational League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Boston UnitedNational League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AltrinchamNational League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Harrogate TownNational League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yeovil TownNational League | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| WorthingNational League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Solihull MoorsNational League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Forest GreenNational League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| WokingNational League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from AFC Fylde’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Scunthorpe recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BarrowNational League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| HartlepoolNational League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Boreham WoodNational League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sutton UtdNational League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nottingham Forest U21National League Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Harrogate TownNational League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CarlisleNational League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Solihull MoorsNational League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| EastleighNational League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Scunthorpe’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
AFC Fylde are ranked 7 in Conference, with 20 points from 12 games.
Scunthorpe are ranked 21 in Conference, with 10 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster Harriers | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.