National League - North · National League North - 11
Harborough TownvsSouthport
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - North
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Harborough Town vs Southport: match review and analysis
Harborough Town vs Southport in National League - North on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Harborough Town recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Southport recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Harborough Town | Southport |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Harborough Town: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 2.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Southport: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Harborough Town recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Albans CityFA Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| MacclesfieldNational League - North | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rushall OlympicFA Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AFC Telford UnitedNational League - North | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HerefordNational League - North | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Brackley TownNational League - North | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MarineNational League - North | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hednesford TownNational League - North | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Darlington 1883National League - North | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Oxford CityNational League - North | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Harborough Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Southport recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spennymoor TownNational League - North | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MorecambeFA Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Worksop TownNational League - North | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MorecambeNational League - North | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Spalding UnitedNational League - North | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| HerefordNational League - North | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Scarborough AthleticNational League - North | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Bedford TownNational League - North | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Hednesford TownNational League - North | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BuxtonNational League - North | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Southport’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - North — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Harborough Town are ranked 17 in National League N/S: North, with 12 points from 10 games.
Southport are ranked 20 in National League N/S: North, with 9 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | King's Lynn Town | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford Town | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop Town | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor Town | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.