National League - South · National League South - 11
Hampton & RichmondvsEbbsfleet United
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - South
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Hampton & Richmond vs Ebbsfleet United: match review and analysis
Hampton & Richmond vs Ebbsfleet United in National League - South on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hampton & Richmond recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 22. Ebbsfleet United recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hampton & Richmond | Ebbsfleet United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hampton & Richmond: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ebbsfleet United: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 2.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hampton & Richmond recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagenham & RedbridgeNational League - South | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Crowborough AthleticFA Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Crowborough AthleticFA Cup | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Chelmsford CityNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FarnboroughNational League - South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AFC TottonNational League - South | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Maidstone UtdNational League - South | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| TorquayNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Slough TownNational League - South | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| HorshamNational League - South | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hampton & Richmond’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ebbsfleet United recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folkestone InvictaNational League - South | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SholingFA Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Slough TownNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MaidenheadFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SalisburyNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Walton & HershamNational League - South | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GillinghamFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cray Valley PMFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Ebbsfleet United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ebbsfleet United are ranked 14 in National League N/S: South, with 12 points from 6 games.
Hampton & Richmond are ranked 22 in National League N/S: South, with 8 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Truro City | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Farnham Town | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Dover | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge Angels | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 16 | Chelmsford City | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 17 | Horsham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 5 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.