National League - South · National League South - 11
HorshamvsMaidstone Utd
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - South
- Venue
- The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Horsham vs Maidstone Utd: match review and analysis
Horsham vs Maidstone Utd in National League - South on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Horsham recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Maidstone Utd recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Horsham | Maidstone Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Horsham: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Maidstone Utd: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Horsham recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth ParkwayFA Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Chelmsford CityNational League - South | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Walton & HershamFA Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Chesham UnitedNational League - South | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Folkestone InvictaNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dagenham & RedbridgeNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Farnham TownNational League - South | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BraintreeNational League - South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hampton & RichmondNational League - South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| SalisburyNational League - South | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Horsham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Maidstone Utd recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truro CityNational League - South | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cray WanderersFA Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cray WanderersFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BraintreeNational League - South | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Weston-super-MareNational League - South | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hampton & RichmondNational League - South | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| SalisburyNational League - South | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dorking WanderersNational League - South | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Folkestone InvictaNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Maidstone Utd’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Maidstone Utd are ranked 1 in National League N/S: South, with 19 points from 10 games.
Horsham are ranked 17 in National League N/S: South, with 11 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Truro City | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Farnham Town | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Dover | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge Angels | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 16 | Chelmsford City | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 17 | Horsham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 5 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.