National League - South · National League South - 11
Weston-super-MarevsFolkestone Invicta
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - South
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta: match review and analysis
Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta in National League - South on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Weston-super-Mare recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Folkestone Invicta recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Weston-super-Mare | Folkestone Invicta |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Weston-super-Mare: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Folkestone Invicta: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Weston-super-Mare recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnham TownNational League - South | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Wimborne TownFA Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Wimborne TownFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dagenham & RedbridgeNational League - South | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AFC TottonNational League - South | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Maidstone UtdNational League - South | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chelmsford CityNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| DoverNational League - South | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| TorquayNational League - South | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Weston-super-Mare’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Folkestone Invicta recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SalisburyNational League - South | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| DoverFA Cup | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Farnham TownNational League - South | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HorshamNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TorquayNational League - South | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Slough TownNational League - South | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chelmsford CityNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Maidstone UtdNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Folkestone Invicta’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Weston-super-Mare are ranked 6 in National League N/S: South, with 17 points from 10 games.
Folkestone Invicta are ranked 15 in National League N/S: South, with 12 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Truro City | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Farnham Town | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Dover | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge Angels | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 16 | Chelmsford City | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 17 | Horsham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 5 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.