Non League Premier - Isthmian · Regular Season - 12
Cray WanderersvsLewes
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Isthmian
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Cray Wanderers vs Lewes: match review and analysis
Cray Wanderers vs Lewes in Non League Premier - Isthmian on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Cray Wanderers recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 12. Lewes recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cray Wanderers | Lewes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cray Wanderers: (2.46 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lewes: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cray Wanderers recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chippenham TownFA Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Maldon & TiptreeNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| CheshuntFA Trophy | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Maidstone UtdFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Maidstone UtdFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| St Albans CityNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Enfield TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LewesFA Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| LewesFA Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Welling UnitedNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Cray Wanderers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lewes recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| UxbridgeFA Trophy | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CheshuntNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Cray WanderersFA Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cray WanderersFA Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Eastbourne BoroughNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| WhyteleafeNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Lewes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Isthmian — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lewes are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 19 points from 10 games.
Cray Wanderers are ranked 13 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Welling United | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Dartford | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Carshalton Athletic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 21 |
| 5 | Lewes | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | Dulwich Hamlet | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 16 |
| 8 | Eastbourne Borough | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 9 | Chatham Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Leatherhead | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | St Albans City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Burgess Hill Town | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 13 | Cray Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 | Cheshunt | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Wingate & Finchley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Aveley | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Brentwood Town | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | Maldon & Tiptree | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 9 |
| 19 | Whyteleafe | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 5 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.